essay

Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren

Keynes's 1930 essay predicting technological abundance and a 15-hour work week, foundational to debates on automation, leisure, and economic progress.

Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren
Type
essay
Year
1930
By
John Maynard Keynes
Publisher
The Nation and Athenaeum

Written during the Great Depression, Keynes argued that technological progress would eventually solve the economic problem of scarcity, enabling a dramatic reduction in working hours to perhaps 15 per week within a century. He envisioned a future of material abundance where humanity could focus on leisure, culture, and meaningful pursuits rather than mere survival.

The essay reflects Keynes's optimism about capitalism's productive capacity and his belief that economic growth would be exponential. He distinguished between absolute needs (which could be satisfied) and relative needs (status-driven consumption), suggesting the former would eventually dominate.

The work has become canonical in discussions of technological unemployment, universal basic income, and work-life balance. It is frequently cited by futurists and technologists debating whether automation will liberate or impoverish society, making it a touchstone for 20th and 21st century economic speculation.

Last updated 31 August 2026