The most likely ASI scenario is not a single god-like AI but many powerful AIs with different goals, creating a multipolar world of machine-level strategic competition.
Overview
Multiple independently developed ASIs will compete, cooperate, and conflict, creating dynamics more complex than any single-agent scenario anticipates.
Classification
- Geographic concentration
- Global; relevant wherever independent ASI development is pursued
- Tags
- security
- governance
- Scenario type (full)
- Transition / Mixed
- Human position
- Dependent to subordinated; humans become junior partners or pawns in conflicts between superintelligences
- Time horizon
- Mid to long term (10–40 years)